Barnabas File

In previous posts, we have looked at the context in which future clergy leaders will serve, one in which resources may be more limited, but there are options for those who are open to them. There are still churches with strong traditions on which to build.     The challenge is that they may no longer have full-time pastors.     We have also looked at the people who are training for pastoral roles in churches and realize that their numbers are declining.     We have also seen that these ministers in training bring specific gifts to ministry—some with strong life experiences and some with a focused approach to ministry.    Here are some possibilities for the future.   Large congregations that are stable and have adequate resources will continue to seek out pastoral leaders with Master of Divinity degrees as a minimum expectation but will most likely search for a Doctor of Ministry or Ph.D. graduate (or equivalent).  More will be open ...

If we are looking toward the future of clergy leadership, a good place to start is with theological education.  Who is in the “pipeline”?  The best source of this information is The Association of Theological Schools (ATS), the accrediting body for seminaries and schools of theology in North America.  Their report on students as of fall 2024, shows that theological education is experiencing a significant demographic and structural shift.     ATS data shows a total enrollment of approximately 76,500 students across member schools, representing a 1.8% increase from the previous year. Here are some trends:   Age and Life Stage.   The student body is getting older, reflecting a surge in mid-career professionals and "second career" seekers.  The average age of an entering student has risen to 40.4 years.   Approximately 14.8% of degree-seeking students are aged 56 or older.   Racial and Ethnic Dive...

Back in the last century, I was invited to write an article for The Campus Minister journal on the future of campus ministry.     I was too optimistic.     In that article, I identified some of the changes that were coming in higher education, but I missed some of the religious trends that would impact denominational ministry with college students—theological divisions, the decline of congregational strength, the decreased denominational support this would bring to both campus ministry and theological education, and the rise of megachurches.     One mistake I made was to project too far into the future out of ignorance of the rapid shifts coming in the latter part of the 20 th  century.   In the next several blog posts, I will attempt to consider possible future trends for the clergy leadership in the local congregation.  I hope to avoid my past errors by looking at hard data about what is happening right now in the church and denominat...

In a recent call with a clergy group, I shared a survey from Exponential NEXT which found that 93.5% of church leaders used or explored using AI in 2025; 78% used it daily or weekly.     One of the participants pointed out that if one uses the Internet, you are using AI whether you want to or not!     It is probably true that everyone uses AI unintentionally!    The finding of the survey, however, was that AI was intentionally used by most clergy leaders in the US.   While AI can assist with sermon research, administrative drafting, and data applications, where do we draw the line to ensure that our teaching remains "God-breathed" and born of human experience, rather than just being an optimized synthesis of existing data? How do we safeguard the integrity of inspiration in our use of AI? How do we continue to nurture the human connection?   Here are some tension points church leaders are currently navigating with AI:   Authenticity. ...

You’ve probably received a letter or e-mail with this message: “(Name of organization) wishes to inform you of an incident that may impact the use of information you have provided to us.”     Yes, there’s been a data breach.   In the past year, we have received such messages from a prominent medical clinic in our city, an insurance company, and the custodian of some of our retirement funds.     The hackers are out there, and they want your information.    And don’t think that church will not be a target.   The tools of technology, like all others, can be a blessing and add impact to our work, but there is the potential for abuse as well. As we think about the church and technology, digital privacy is just one of the things we must consider.     Data Privacy and Trust: What ethical frameworks are we using to protect the data and privacy of our congregants in an era of increasing digital surveillance and data harvesting? ...

Those who are immersed in the digital world sometimes forget that the same is not true of everyone.     Not everyone has a state-of-the-art computer, a smart phone, an Apple watch, and high-speed internet connection.     Due to their financial status, their demographic group, or their geographic location, these modern amenities are not available to all.      Consider these challenges to inclusivity and connection in the digital age:   The Digital Divide: How do we remain inclusive of older members or those with limited financial means who may feel alienated or left behind by a heavy reliance on apps and digital platforms? Moving to digital platforms as means of communication is faster and more economical, but how do we maintain contact with those who are not connected in this way?  We shouldn’t assume that the barrier is knowledge.  For some—in both urban and rural areas—there may be inadequate and unreliable internet or c...